November 29, 2022

Love EPL tips? Betfair’s English Premier League Analyst provides his EPL tips and analysis for this week’s football action. Betting strategies & previews available now.
23 Nov 2022
Betting Strategy
City did City things last weekend, putting on a dominant display to beat Fulham after going down to 10 men early on, but the biggest win for them on the day was Erling Haaland getting 30mins off the bench despite injury concerns with his foot. Julian Alvarez proved to be a capable replacement for the big Norwegian, and should Haaland be rested with the World Cup break looming he should find the net again, particularly with the form Kevin De Bruyne has been in for the past month. Previous encounters between City and Brentford have been low scoring affairs as Thomas Frank typically sets up defensively against the big teams, but the Bees have been put to the sword multiple times this campaign already when setting up in such a manner, with a 4-0, 5-1, and 3-0 defeats all coming within the past 6 weeks.
Betting Strategy
Wolves host Arsenal this weekend, as the Gunners look to solidify top spot in the Premier League before the competition takes a hiatus for the World Cup. Arsenal have scored an impressive 31 goals through the first 13 matches and are getting goals from a variety of sources, with Jesus and Martinelli the joint leading scorers sitting on just 5 goals each. Meanwhile Wolves remain in the relegation zone after going down to Brighton 3-2 last time out. The Gunners took the full 6 points against Wolves last season, and with their significant improvement from last season, look for them to do the same again this season.
Betting Strategy
The United 22/23 side can finally claim to be record breakers; being the first United side to lose at Villa Park since 1995. The bigger concern for Erik Ten Hag is the attacking unit, once again being unable to break down a compact defensive unit and also turning the ball over far too frequently to pose a consistent threat against a Villa defence that has been patchy at best this season. Scoring from a horribly deflected shot was about the only way United were going to score, and questions have to be raised about how dependent they are on Bruno Fernandes, who’s absence due to suspension caused the front 4 of Ronaldo, Rashford, van de Beek and Garnarcho to be wholly ineffective. And to make matters worse they travel to Fortress Craven Cottage which has seen only one loss this season, as Fulham are also likely to bring key man Alexsandar Mitrovic back into the squad after his absence last weekend as he still recovers from a hamstring niggle. His size and predatory instincts will severely challenge an injury depleted United defensive unit.
Betting Strategy
To take a very glass half full approach, Bournemouth were excellent for 50 minutes last weekend against Leeds; the less said about the last 40 minutes the better. The result propelled the Cherries into being the leakiest defence in the division, conceding 12 goals in their last 5 matches. Keeping the optimistic outlook going, they can look forward to this weekend and a team that has scored only 2 goals in their last 5 games in Everton. To emphasise this point even more, 4 of those last 5 games ended in a donut for the Toffees to go with 3 defeats and a draw. The positive that a neutral can look forward to for this match is that 7 of the past 8 competitive fixtures between these clubs have seen 3 goals or more scored, but with each side facing completely different issues at this point in time, a score draw looks likely.
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